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JEFFERIES: There are no bad outcomes for the Procter & Gamble board seat vote (PG)

Nelson Peltz wants to shift, but not radically change, P&G's strategy. Whether he comes out with a board seat or not, the company is set to be on a path higher.

  • Billionaire investor Nelson Peltz won a preliminary recount of a board of directors election at Procter & Gamble.
  • The investor wants to shift, but not radically change, P&G's strategy.
  • Whether Peltz comes out with a board seat or not, the company is set to be on a path higher, according to one analyst.

On Wednesday, a recount of votes in a board of directors election at Procter & Gamble reversed the previous outcome and gave activist investor Nelson Peltz a board seat by the narrowest of margins.

Shares of Procter & Gamble rose 1.07% to $89.17 after the results of the recount were released. Peltz won the recount by about 43,000 shares or just 0.002% of the total vote. The results are not final, and a certified report of the result is set to be released in the coming weeks by the firm conducting the recount.

"We view P&G’s strategy to be appropriate and its management team as extremely capable; however, we also believe Mr. Peltz's involvement - while an unwanted distraction from P&G's perspective - sets up a 'win-win' for its shareholders," Kevin Grundy, an analyst at Jefferies, said in a note to clients.

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Grundy argues that either way the final vote goes, Procter & Gamble has a strong future ahead of it. With its current leadership, the company could continue to deliver at or slightly above Wall Street's expectations without radical changes, or Peltz could gain a board seat and ask for a few changes that would return more value to shareholders. Either outcome is good for P&G, Grundy says.

Peltz' plan for P&G does not involve radical transformations. Peltz says he mostly would like to increase accountability and transparency at the company, rather than ushering in a new financial structure, Grundy said.

Because of the two positive paths forward, Grundy is bullish on the stock and rates it a buy with a price target of $99, about 10.9% higher than the current price.

Procter & Gamble is up 6% this year.

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