The College Football Playoff picture is clearing up, but 2 spots are still a mystery

Through 11 weeks, the College Football Playoff picture is starting to clear up.
No team is locked in yet, but we do know where two of the teams will come from.
The final two spots will likely come down to four teams for the committee to choose from.

There are only three weeks left in the college football regular season and we still don't know who will be in the College Football Playoff, but after a weekend in which top teams fell, we do have a good idea where two of the teams will come from.

In a wild weekend of action, we saw: No. 1 Georgia get blown out by Auburn, shaking up the top of the ranking, but also keeping the Tigers alive; Miami announce their presence with authority with a blowout win over No. 3 Notre Dame at home; Oklahoma keep their hopes alive with a win over TCU; Wisconsin finally add a big win that they desperately needed, by manhandling Iowa; and Alabama survive a scare with a late touchdown to beat Mississippi State.

At this point, there are nine or ten teams that appear to still be in the playoff hunt. We know where two of the spots will come from and then it will be up to the committee to decide the rest.

Of course, unexpected upsets will certainly throw a wrench in any projections, but let's take a look at where the playoff stands as of now.

The first two spots in the playoff appear to be spoken for.

The winner of the SEC Championship game — Auburn could be the first 2-loss team to make the playoff if they run the table. That seemed like a long-shot a week ago, but after they blew out No. 1 Georgia, they just need to beat Alabama at home and then Georgia again in the SEC title game and they are in. If that doesn't happen, the SEC champ will be a 1-loss Georgia or Alabama. Either way, the winner will be in.

The winner of the ACC Championship game — Miami did not lock up a playoff spot yet, despite being undefeated and putting together back-to-back impressive wins over Virginia Tech and Notre Dame. But The U is close. What we do know is that, barring a huge upset between now and then, the winner of the Clemson-Miami matchup in the ACC title game is in the playoff.

The other two spots in the playoff will likely come from this group of teams.

Wisconsin — Wisconsin beat Iowa easily, one week after Iowa did the same to Ohio State. Wisconsin's schedule in the Big Ten West is still nothing to brag about, but for the most part they have handled it easily. In addition, they can still add wins over Michigan and (probably) Ohio State in the Big Ten title game. Notre Dame's loss certainly helped the Badgers, and if they win out, they are almost certainly in the playoff. But they need to win out.

Oklahoma — Oklahoma has fought their way back into consideration after a disappointing mid-season loss at home to an Iowa State team that turned out to be better than most thought. There is still no guarantee the Big 12 will be included in the playoff, but if Oklahoma takes care of business and wins the Big 12 title game, it will be hard to keep them out out of one of the final two spots.

A second SEC team

These teams are still on life support.

TCU

Chaos?

At this point, things look pretty straight-forward. The SEC and ACC champs are in. The other two spots could simply go to the Big Ten and Big 12 champs — assuming that is Wisconsin and Oklahoma